Wednesday, April 08, 2009

Solution suggestion: Do nothing!

When it was realized that many paper bank notes were just that, their values began to collapse, many to zero (the same amount of gold you could get for it), and the money supply contracted at a ferocious rate. From the fall of 1818 to the beginning of 1819, demand liabilities at the central bank fell from $22 million to $12 million (Dupre 2006, p. 272) and the total money supply fell about 28% (Rothbard 2007, p. 89).

Insolvent banks and overextended debtors alike collapsed, while prices, no longer pumped up by the bubble, raced downward to their equilibrium. As the money supply cleansed itself of the bad apples, time and effort had to be paid so that the flow of funds could adjust back to their best uses, following prices as their guideposts. It was a massive, countrywide downturn, and introduced a slowly industrializing America to a new experience — mass unemployment.

Compared to now however, the state and federal politicians did basically nothing to "help" the economy recover from the Panic of 1819, yet by 1821 the economy had begun to get back on its feet, which must seem a stunning outcome to anyone burdened with a degree in economics.
The quote above is taken from this article about the recession in USA in 1819. The political policy measures taken in this recession compared to the "action filled" recessions of 1929 and today's recession give a very strong indication of what politicians should do today to get us out of the recession: Nothing.

Well, repeal some laws, e.g. tender laws, but basically whatever it takes to fiddle as little as possible with the economy. A lesson that points the way forward? Yes. Lesson learned? No.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

great discussion

but can you find an article that suggest the opposite? eg the reason why France performed well in this recession?